Destiny ExperimentData Transparency
Back to Destiny MarketDATA TRANSPARENCY / METHODOLOGY
Mystery in front. Audit trail behind.
This page separates what the prototype can demonstrate from what real evidence would require. Null results, small samples and limitations stay visible.
Current production state
No shared research dataset is connected yet.
Submissions stay on the visitor’s device. The market board uses 2,418 clearly labeled illustrative fixtures so the product can be evaluated without presenting invented results as evidence.
Illustrative claim audit
Every claim keeps its sample and control attached.
The rows below demonstrate the planned evidence contract. They are not production findings.
QuestionObserved nControl nUncertaintyStatus
Does a spouse-palace clash predict major relationship changes?Age, country and gender matched profiles without the pattern
1,2841,284±4.2 percentage pointsModerate SignalDo wealth-star patterns appear more often among founders?Age, country and education matched profiles
6121,224±5.8 percentage pointsWeak SignalDoes birth month meaningfully predict income band?Country, age and education matched profiles
1,9061,906±2.1 percentage pointsCurrently Contrary to Observed DataAre people born in the same hour measurably more alike?Demographically matched random pairs
254508Wide; pair counts vary by countryInconclusiveDo “moving” structures correlate with migration?Age, country and education matched profiles
9011,802±4.9 percentage pointsInconclusiveDo traditional late-marriage markers actually delay marriage?Age, country and gender matched profiles
1,0471,047±0.7 yearsWeak SignalDo wealth-cycle clashes precede major financial losses?Control definition pending minimum sample
173PendingNot estimableInsufficient DataDoes BaZi add signal beyond demographics?Demographic-only baseline models
219PendingModel comparison not yet stableInsufficient DataMethod boundaries
What these observations cannot establish
- Correlation does not imply causation.
- Self-selection can make participants unlike the wider population.
- Birth-time memory and timezone conversion introduce measurement error.
- Multiple comparisons can surface chance patterns.
- Health reports are not diagnoses and cannot predict individual disease.
- Small groups suppress directional percentages until sample gates pass.
- DXI definition
- A normalized signal-activity index that moves when observed-control gaps change, evidence levels shift, or new usable lives alter the database. Baseline 50. It is not luck, prediction, or proof of causation.
- Matched controls
- Age band, country, gender and education where available.
- Sensitive data
- Health and wealth rows are restricted and never exposed in a public API.
- Data grades
- Self-reported and Consistency Checked exist now. Longitudinal and Research Grade are reserved.
Update history
Methods change in public.
Added local timeline-order checks and explicit Self-reported / Consistency Checked states.
Defined DXI as exploratory signal activity; separated it from luck, fate and causal claims.
Required an observed group, matched control, sample, uncertainty and quality label for every claim.